UCF Statistics Binomial & Poisson Fitting Distributions Discussion

Select and post to One (1) of the following options from either Unit 3 or Unit 4 Topics for your discussion posting. Alternatively, you can post on a topic of your own creation, related to these chapters (following similar guidelines).Unit 3 Topics:1 – Hypergeometric PokerConsider a Poker game where an opponent tells you that the five cards she or he holds (and which you cannot see) represent a hand that beats 60% of all other possible hands. (If you aren’t that familiar with Poker, a quick web search will help you understand the relationships between terrible and excellent poker hands — with better hands having lower probability)Discuss how you would use that knowledge, along with the Hypergeometric Distribution, to correctly identify the hand your opponent is holding.  Be very specific in describing your step by step approach to solving the problem. Exactly what probabilities would you be calculating, in what order, and why? How accurate can you be, and why can’t you be more accurate than that?2 – Binomial & Poisson FittingIf someone tells us that a random variable is described by a Binomial or Poisson distribution, it becomes a very simple matter (presuming we know the key parameters) to be able to then predict the likelihood that any particular combination of values will be seen in a dataset containing that variable. Sometimes, though, we don’t know what kind of distribution our variable will fit, or we don’t know enough to be able to identify the key parameters needed to make accurate predictions.Part of the analysis we routinely do with datasets is to identify whether or not any of the variables included are Binomial or Poisson in nature. Discuss why it can be helpful to do this?Discuss how you would identify which variables in the dataset would benefit from such analysis. Does it provide benefit to name the distribution that applies even if you can’t precisely identify the needed parameters for that distribution?Use specific examples in your post: Provide some examples of variables that might be in your data that would be considered Binomial or Poisson. These examples should demonstrate that you understand how to recognize that a variable fit one of these distributions.3 – Predicting Defectives & DefectsDiscrete probability distributions are extremely useful in engineering statistics. One particular area where these distributions are commonly used by engineers is quality engineering.It turns out that if we know the expected defective rate of a process or product, we can make predictions about actual defectives using the Binomial distribution.  For example, if we know our defective rate is 15% and we want to produce 100 of something, the Binomial distribution will allow us to predict the probability of different levels of actual defectives that will be seen among those 100. The expect value of 15% tells us that 15 would be the average value over the long run, but it doesn’t tell us how many we’ll actually see in the next 100 produced.  It might be 0, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, or 30, and the Binomial distribution can predict the probability of each outcome.It also turns out that if we have a defective process or product, the number of defects in a defective (also known as the defect density) will be predictable using the Poisson distribution.  Some defectives will have only 1 defect, while others might have many more. The parameter of interest with the Poisson distribution is the expected arrival rate.  If our quality control data tells us that the expected rate of defects in our defective products or processes is 10, then that number is a statement about how many each defective process or product will contain on average in the long run. It’snot a prediction of exactly how many defects the next defective will have. The Poisson distribution gives us the ability to predict the number of defects that we’ll see in the next defective, and it will be a value ranging from below to above the expected value.Discuss the way that probability allows you, as an engineer, to more accurately predict and manage quality in processes and products. Without these distributions, we might know that our defective rate is 15% and that the expected defects in a defective is 10.  How would we manage quality if that’s all we knew?  Alternatively, what do we know about the best case and worst case scenarios if we consider that the Binomial distribution governs the number of defectives we’ll see, and the Poisson distribution governs the number of defects we’ll see in a defective. How would you use this information to inform management about why sometimes we have good quality days, and other times we have bad quality days? How would you explain that sometimes we have lots of defects but very few defects per defective, while other times we have few defectives but each has lots of defects? How do the Binomial and Poisson distributions help you understand what is happening in each scenario? Use specific examples of probabilities in illustrating your explanations.4 – Ethics in Engineering (Columbia Space Shuttle Accident)BackgroundThe Columbia Space Shuttle Accident presents some challenges for engineers. The accident analysis that followed the Space Shuttle Challenger Accident almost 20 years earlier resulted in everyone having a pretty good idea of the reliability of the system.  Since Success/Failure of a mission is a binary outcome, the Binomial distribution would govern our understanding of the future outcome so the system based on expected reliability.DiscussionDiscuss the ethics of the circumstances that resulted in the Columbia Space Shuttle Accident.  Considering the predictions that were made years before the accident, as well as the reliability of the Binomial distribution and its implications, what could or should the engineers associated with the program have done differently?  What obligations do we have as engineers when we find ourselves in this kind of position? Ultimately, why did the system fail, and who shares the responsibility?5 – Gambler’s FallacyDescribe the Gambler’s Fallacy from our readings, and illustrate the concept using an example from the real world where a person or organization might suffer as a result of the fallacy. How would you use an explanation of the fallacy to explain to someone why they were making a mistake in their reasoning? In you respond to others on this topic, comment on whether the explanation they’ve offered is adequate for addressing the problem.Unit 4 Topics:6 – Normal ApproximationsThis week’s and last week’s readings have included the Binomial, Poisson and Normal distributions. Each provides very accurate results when used in the circumstances for which they are intended in quality engineering.  However, the Binomial and Poisson distributions can get very cumbersome to calculate as the scale of the sample size grows.  The tables of values provided in most text books typically don’t provide values for very large sample sizes. (The largest sample size supported in our text appendices is 36.)  As a result, it is conventional to use the Normal distribution as an approximation of either the Binomial or Poisson distribution as sample sizes grow.Discuss what it means to use the Normal distribution as an approximation for the Binomial or Poisson distribution. Why does it work?  What are the strengths or weaknesses of doing so?  (Hint: Think about the center versus the tails.)7 – Statistics vs. AnalysisStatistical Process Control (SPC) is often described as an applied side of the Binomial, Poisson, and Normal distributions.  Many have said that an X-bar control chart is simply a Normal distribution turned on its side.  Some argue that our statistics course shouldn’t try to cover these applications because they represent an analytical skill rather than a statistical technique.Discuss, first whether or not you agree with the notion that SPC is an application of what we’re learning in this class, and second, whether coverage of the topic is helpful in this class.  How might your outcomes after this class be affected – positively or negatively – by whether or not we cover Chapter 16 in the text?8 – Distribution ParametersThe various distributions in the reading this week and last week entail probability curves that mathematically differ according to a group of parameters.  Different parameters allow for specification of the shape, scale, and location of the distribution.Discuss the role that these parameters play in establishing the characteristic form for each distribution.  Consider why our text doesn’t discuss the location parameter very much. Why might that be? Also, if we strip away these parameters from the various distribution formulas, what’s typically left?  Treat this thread as a conceptual exploration, not a detailed mathematical proof.Since our text uses these parameters but doesn’t teach them very much, feel free to use additional outside sources in formulating your response to this thread; but please cite any sources you use.9 – Why These Distributions?A classic question of logic is: Which came first, the chicken or the egg? In this class, we might adapt that question for exploring the various probability distributions we’ve seen this week and last week.  Many things we analyze as engineers can be best understood as manifestations in the world of the probabilities these distributions describe.  Knowing the appropriate descriptive distribution allows us to make predictions about what has happened, or will happen, in the world.Discuss how you would explain to a non-engineering manager why, when, and how you would make use of these distributions in order to solve a problem or address an opportunity.  What would you need to start, and what you have after your analysis?10 – Probability PlotsIn Unit 3 we learned about discrete probability distributions: Hypergeometric, Binomial, and Poisson. In Unit 4, we added the Normal distribution to our list as the first of many continuous distributions. In this unit, we are adding those other continuous probability distributions. We are seeing that the Exponential, Gamma, Weibull, Lognormal, and Beta distributions are appropriate to certain types of engineering problems. Although our readings have tended to focus the most attention on the Normal distributions, we need to recognize that to solve a particular engineering challenge, any of these distributions might be needed. We need to be able to determine which, if any, of these distributions fits any situation in which we might be doing analysis. We use a probability plot as a tool to determine if a set of data we are analyzing can reasonably be described by one of our probability distributions. I so, then the standard probabilities associated with the distribution can be used to make predictions about the process or system represented by our data. If not, we have to do some extra math to determine our own probabilities by fitting the data we have to an algebraic function (something we’ll do when we get to linear and nonlinear regression) and then integrating that function over our range of interest to determine probabilities. The math isn’t that difficult once we know the function, but it is certainly faster and easier to do our work if we can quickly show that one of the distributions we already understand fits our data well enough to use it.Discuss how a probability plot works, and why we can draw conclusions based on the level of fit we see.  If the resulting “fit” isn’t perfect (which it very rarely is), what factors do you need to consider in deciding about whether to use a particular distribution to solve your challenge? Describe how you would go about determining the best distribution for a set of data (if there actually is one).

Training proposal, methodology, and rationale assignment

OVERVIEWThe Training Proposal, Methodology, and Rationale Assignment is a formal, graduate-level work of at least 8 pages on a training topic of the student’s choice.
INSTRUCTIONSThe student must begin by reviewing the reading on Assessing HRD Needs from the textbook.After selecting a training topic, the student will then follow the training program design andimplementation process described in the textbook. Ideas for training topics. Any topic discussed in the textbook may be considered, including but not limited to thefollowing:? Sexual harassment prevention and reporting? Industry-specific training? New employee orientation? Safety training? Quality training? Team Building? Diversity training? Coaching skills? Stress management? Management developmentRequired ElementsThe body of the Training Proposal, Methodology, and Rationale Assignment, not counting the title page and references, must be at least eight complete pages of typed narrative prose using 12-point Times New Roman fonts and one-inch margins on all four sides. These eight pages include a section describing the proposed lesson plan, using the material from the reading on Designing Effective HRD Programs from the textbook. A Table of Contents is required following the title page.
The proposal must contain the following required elements:? Introduction: A comprehensive, scholarly introduction of the topic including a clearthesis statement and overview of the content, supported by in-text citations. A Level 1 heading is required.? Content/Main Body: A comprehensive, scholarly treatment of the proposed training program, including  the methodology that will be used to design, develop, implement, and evaluate the training, and the rationale for the proposal. The content must be organized under Level 1 headings and supported by in-text citations.? Conclusion: A comprehensive, scholarly conclusion to the proposal, including a summary of the issues treated in this assignment and suggestions for further study, supported by in-text citations. A Level 1 heading is required.ReferencesThe statements made in the Training Proposal, Methodology, and Rationale Assignment must be supported by references and in-text citations for the course textbook and two articles from peer-reviewed journals published within the past five years.MechanicsAll pages of all assignments, including the title page and reference list, must be double-spacedand typed in 12-point Times New Roman fonts with one-inch margins on all four sides. MS Word files only. The Training Proposal, Methodology, and Rationale Assignment must meet the standards of the current edition of the APA manual for in-text citations, references, headings, grammar, spelling and mechanics.Note: Your assignment will be checked for originality via the Turnitin plagiarism tool.

Sociology discussion post 3 | SOCY 100 6984 INTRODUCTION TO SOCIOLOGY

Goombay Festival in the Bahamas and Miami, Fl
People celebrate many holidays and festivals that are imbued with meaning. For your main post this week, include the following two parts:
Part 1. Choose a festival or holiday with which you are familiar. Based on your study of the Week 3 learning resources (UMGC, n.d.), explain some key aspects of the holiday or festival, including the relevant beliefs, values, norms, and symbols associated with it. As part of your post, be sure to explain why each of the different aspects would be considered a belief, value, norm, etc. (For example, why would family get-togethers on Thanksgiving be considered a norm)?
Part 2. Based on what you read about the different theoretical perspectives on society presented in the Week 3 learning resources, what role might holidays and festivals play in creating social solidarity and/or social conflict in society?  Be sure to refer to at least one of the ideas, concepts, and/or theories explained in the Theoretical Perspectives on Society section of this week’s learning resources.
References and Citations
Here is the reference you should cite in your main post:
University of Maryland Global Campus. (n.d.). Week 3. Culture and society. Document posted in UMGC SOCY 100 online classroom, archived at https://learn.umgc.edu.
Make sure to include the complete reference information at the end of your post. If you refer to any additional sources, please be sure to include them in your reference list as well. 
When referring to the different topics of the material in the Learning Resources within your posts, use the following citation format: (UMGC, n.d., name of topic). 
For example: (UMGC, n.d., What is Culture?) or (UMGC, n.d., Elements of Culture).  
If you use any additional sources in your posts, be sure to cite them in the post and include the full reference information at the end of the post. To learn more about how to cite in APA style, visit the UMGC Library at APA 7th Edition Citation Examples: General Rules.  
Provide your initial post by 11:59 p.m. on Sunday. Your initial post should be at least 200 words in length, excluding the discussion prompt and the references. Please use in-text APA citations within your post as well as full APA references at the end of your post.
Peer Responses: Respond to at least two classmates’ initial posts by 11:59 p.m. on Tuesday. Posts must be at least 75 words in length and demonstrate critical thinking, engagement with course material, and a meaningful attempt to engage in discourse.

Review assignment | Management homework help

 each question should be answered with a page and a half
pick a single company in the S&P 500 and answer the following four questions…

Experience  is a common job requirement – but aspiring professionals are often  frustrated by this obstacle to career advancement. They think “I need  experience to get the job BUT I need the job to get experience!!!” Maybe  you can relate to this. First, research and describe how your chosen  company is handling the question of education and experience  requirements in hiring. Then, explain how you would handle it  differently (if at all) if you were in charge of Human Resources and  Workforce Management for the same company. How much would or should be  necessary? Would it vary by job? If so, how? And are there any  exceptions?

2.  Some businesses focus a lot on succession  planning. Others, however, seem to just put off worrying about it until  someone dies, resigns, or gets fired. First, research and describe how  your chosen company is handling the questions of employee development  and succession planning. Then, explain how you would handle it  differently (if at all) if you were in charge of Human Resources and  Workforce Management for the same company. What kind of programs or  initiatives or incentives would you put in place? How would you measure  whether your efforts are achieving the desired goals? 
3.  Most businesses run payroll biweekly, but  some do it more frequently and some less frequently. First, research  and describe how your chosen company is handling the question of payroll  frequency. Then, explain how you would handle it differently (if at  all) if you were in charge of Human Resources and Workforce Management  for the same company. What are the advantages and drawbacks to your  chosen frequency? 
4.  Location is a critical variable in  determining not just where a business’s operations will be situated, but  also where it will find its human capital and talent. First, research  and describe how your chosen company is handling location strategy.  Then, explain how you would handle it differently (if at all) if you  were in charge of Human Resources and Workforce Management for the same  company. If you were asked to identify a new city (anywhere in the  United States) for a corporate headquarters office, what city would you  suggest and why? Be sure to consider variables like minimum wage and  taxes, average education levels, and other factors that would be  relevant to such a decision 
 minimum of eight (8) sources (two for each of the questions) 

Power point | bus499 | Augusta

In this assignment, you are to use the same corporation you selected for the assignments in Weeks 3, 6, and 8. You will prepare an executive-level PowerPoint presentation that could be delivered to the board of directors.This assignment requires the use of three or more quality resources, including your textbook. Use any or all of the following resources to conduct research on the chosen corporation:

The corporation’s website.
Public filings from the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Filings & Forms page.
Strayer University’s online databases.
The Nexis Uni database.
Other credible sources, such as the corporation’s annual report, will often provide insights that other resources may not include.
It is expected that you will use your textbook as a resource for this assignment.

Instructions:

Review the scoring guide (rubric) in the course guide before starting the assignment.
Download and save the Capstone Project Template [PPTX]. 
Use the template to Develop an 8-12 slide PowerPoint presentation with speaker notes and appropriate graphics. This presentation should be prepared for the board of directors of the corporation and is based only on your assignments from Weeks 3, 6, and 8, and the following:

Step 1: Create a SWOT analysis for the company to determine its major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats.Step 2: Based on the SWOT analysis, outline a strategy for the company to capitalize on its strengths and opportunities, and minimize its weaknesses and threats.Step 3: Discuss the various levels and types of strategies the firm may use to maximize its competitiveness and profitability.Step 4: Outline a communications plan the company could use to make the strategies you recommend above known to all stakeholders.Step 5: Assess efforts by the corporation to be a responsible (ethical) corporate citizen and the impact on the corporation’s bottom line. Provide specific examples to support your response.

Use three or more quality sources, including your textbook, to support your writing. Choose sources that are credible, relevant, and appropriate. Cite each source listed on your source page at least one time within your assignment. (Note: Wikipedia and similar websites do not qualify as academic resources)

For help with research, writing, and citation, access the library.

Produce writing that is clear and well organized and applies appropriate Strayer Writing Standards (SWS) style. Writing contains accurate grammar, mechanics, and spelling.

For additional support, view the following LinkedIn Learning videos:Start Quickly with a Theme or Template.Add, Remove, or Rearrange Slides.Adding Images.Speaker Notes.

Note: Do not submit a recording or video of your presentation.

This course requires the use of Strayer Writing Standards. The library is your home for SWS assistance, including citations and formatting. Please refer to the Library site for all support. Check with your professor for any additional instructions.The specific course learning outcome associated with this assignment is as follows:

Develop a corporate presentation based on a SWOT analysis, strategies for maximizing competitiveness and profitability, a communications plan, and an assessment of efforts related to ethics.

my company is Uber 

Bernard arnault memo | Government homework help

Your main objective is to make observations about how the manager you study practically handles
some of the organizational issues that are covered in the course syllabus.(attached)
After reading the book named Everything Luxury: The Branding Strategy of Bernard Arnault (Bernard Arnault Books Book 1) (https://www.amazon.com/Everything-Luxury-Branding-Strategy-Bernard-ebook/dp/B09G222W29/ref=sr_1_2?keywords=Bernard+Arnault&qid=1687847026&s=books&sr=1-2) write a Memo. 
In the memo, you should talk about what leadership style Bernard Arnault has and why say so(examples).
What are his leadership skills and traits and how does he solve problems with these skills?
What I think his major skills would be:
Major Traits:

Perceptive
Persistent
Determined
Diligent
Conscientious

Styles:

Employee-Oriented & Decision-Oriented
Autocratic
Transformational

Feel free to add more if you have more thoughts.
Length: 2-3 pages (single-spaced); a list of references does not count toward the page limit
Sources and Collaboration: Please list any supplemental materials you used in order to
complete this assignment at the end of your memo. Any information that is taken from a specific
source (including from course readings) should be properly documented with a citation (any
the citation format is fine).
Grading Criteria
1. Usefulness of content. You should provide accurate and relevant information. The material
should address how the practitioner approaches topics covered in this course throughout
the semester.
2. Depth of content. Your project should go beyond simple reporting of facts and should
contain your own analysis (e.g., comparisons across sources, synthesis of different ideas).
Through your analysis, you should demonstrate an ability to understand and evaluate
organizational/managerial challenges and strategies.
3. General clarity and professionalism of communication. Your content should be well-organized.
– For the memo: Writing should exhibit accurate grammar/spelling and contain
formatting/organization that facilitates skimming by the reader.

Change management theories | type of change | Colorado College

Primary Discussion Response is due by Thursday (11:59:59pm Central), Peer Responses are due by Saturday (11:59:59pm Central).
Primary Task Response: Within the Discussion Board area, write 400–600 words that respond to the following questions with your thoughts, ideas, and comments. This will be the foundation for future discussions by your classmates. Be substantive and clear, and use examples to reinforce your ideas.
This assignment will be based on this scenario.
Additional Information:
The VP of HR reviewed the executive summary and decided that your recommendation was a strong course of action for the change process. In her discussions with Leroy, she mentioned that it would be good to have you participate in a focus group to discuss your experiences with the change process. She was interested in discovering some best practices for change and felt that your experiences would be very valuable to Red Carpet’s approach to change. To guide the discussion, she recommended addressing a few points that should be covered in the focus group. Leroy will gather the results of the focus group and share it with the VP of HR.
Review the Red Carpet scenario for this course and with your classmates; discuss the following questions that will provide insight into your own change experiences:

Describe a successful change from your own experiences and why it worked well.
Describe an unsuccessful change from your own experiences and why it did not achieve its intended objectives.
From your own experiences, what do you think Red Carpet should do to make the change successful?

Celebrity disease | Anatomy homework help

 
Celebrity Assignment
How to Complete the Celebrity AssignmentObjective1. First, select a celebrity from the following list. Each of these individuals has or had a life-altering medical condition.
Annette FunicelloPamela AndersonAndy WarholNaomi JuddBob MarleyMelissa EtheridgeSharon OsbournePeter JenningsWalt DisneyTug McGrawAlbert EinsteinLance ArmstrongMagic JohnsonSally FieldTeri GarrMontel WilliamsFormer President Ronald ReaganMuhammed AliMichael J. FoxMary Tyler MooreKate JacksonChristopher ReeveFormer Attorney General Janet RenoDavid BowieSteve Jobs
2. LIST 50 medical terms and their official definitions you would like to use related to this condition and cite your sources.
3. Thirdly, then tell their story using the actual medical terms you have chosen.Be sure to boldface or highlight your chosen medical terms in your paragraphs.Imagine you are a medical professional speaking to other medical professionals who understand medical terms well. Here you will use the actual medical terminology in your passage.This is your chance to sound medically professional with your term usage ??
Include the following points in your story.Focus more on the disease or condition rather than the celebrity overall.a. Explain the disease or condition and how it has impacted this person’s quality of life from a health perspective.b. Explain the signs and symptoms and body systems affected by this condition in a typical patient.c. Explain possible causes of the condition in general.d. Discuss a few medications or treatments for this condition in general.e. Discuss the possible prognosis.
3. Be sure to cite all your references for research and definitions. 5 reference sources total are required. (Feel free to explore any mix of these sources: websites, dictionaries, texts, magazines, books, newspapers or magazines etc) 

Busi701: current topics in business administration manage

   
Discussion Assignment Instructions
Provide a 600 to 800-word summary (formatted according to APA guidelines) of the new research in this area from a minimum of five new peer reviewed journal articles and identify questions that need exploring in future research.  
Your discussion should be organized in a three-paragraph format: 
Introductory Paragraph: gives an overview and definition of the topic you chose. At the end of the paragraph it gives an idea of how your forum is organized. 
Current Trends Paragraph: In this paragraph, you will discuss the themes that you found in the research from the 5 articles related to your topic. This paragraph should be a synthesis of the research and not just a listing of annotated summaries. 
Future Research Paragraph: In this paragraph, you will discuss areas of future research by referencing the 5 articles that you identified. The future research areas should be based on the findings of the authors of those articles rather than general ideas you may have. 
*A reference section should then be included at the end of your discussion. 
Discussion Thread: Management
MANAGE DISCUSSION
Using one of the topics from your reading or a topic related to management from the, It’s the Same, Only Different links to an external site. And find five additional peer-reviewed articles in this area (in addition to any of the readings) that provide context to the topic. Write a summary and synthesis that discusses the contributions of the five additional journal articles you selected and how these help to provide additional clarity on the topic. 
  It’s the Same, Only Different 
https://www.siop.org/Research-Publications/Items-of-Interest/ArtMID/19366/ArticleID/1639/It%E2%80%99s-the-Same-Only-Different

ASU Effects of NAA on Auxiliary Growth in Plants Essay Questions

The Lab 05 exit quiz requires you to write an essay about the experiment. To complete it successfully, read the lab manual to understand the experiment’s main idea. Utilize the data provided in the PowerPoint presentation to compare the three treatments. Ensure that you answer all the questions, including the smaller ones, as each question carries points.Q1) The objective of the experiment is not only to examine the removal of the terminal bud but more about the function of NAA. Does NAA promote or inhibit auxiliary growth?  Your hypothesis should focus on the effects of auxin and NOT the effects of pruning. You have to give your prediction and include it in the hypothesis.Q2) This experiment cannot be conducted correctly without including all three plant treatments (control, pruned, pruned + auxin). Explain the purpose of each treatment and make three separate predictions (use if/then statements for these) for how you think each treated plant will be affected. For each treatment, where is the auxin, and what is doing?Q3) You should process the raw data from the slides (i.e. calculate the average number)  and present it in the graph. You can either draw the graph on paper or make it in the software.Q4) Explain why you choose a bar/line/pie…. graph. Did you graph values based on the class average or an individual group’s measurements?Q5) Did your predictions pan out? Why or why not? Based on the final outcome, was your original hypothesis supported or rejected? Why or why not?) Answer every small question and do not miss it.